A rapid acceleration in the melting of Antarctic and Greenland glacier
ice, amounting to around 300 billion tonnes a year, has been detected by
a satellite over the past decade.
The satellite that measures gravity fluctuations on Earth due to changes
in the massive ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica detected the
melting which could have a dramatic impact on sea levels around the
world, researchers say.
Scientists have warned that the measurements gathered since 2002 by the
Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (Grace) flying in space are
still too short—term for accurate predictions of how much ice will be
lost in the coming decades, and therefore how rapidly sea levels will
rise.
“In the course of the mission, it has become apparent that ice sheets
are losing substantial amounts of ice — about 300 billion tonnes a year —
and that the rate at which these losses occurs is increasing,” said
Bert Wouters of Bristol University’s Glaciology Centre.
“Compared to the first few years of the Grace mission, the ice sheets’
contribution to sea—level rise has almost doubled in recent years,”
added Wouters, the lead author of the study.
Yet, there is no consensus among scientists about the cause of this
recent increase in ice sheet mass loss observed by satellites,
researchers say.
The findings, published in the journal Nature Geoscience, underscore the
need for continuous satellite monitoring of the ice sheets to better
identify and predict melting and the corresponding sea—level rise,
researchers say.
The ice sheets covering Antarctica and Greenland contain about 99.5 per
cent of the Earth’s glacier ice which would raise global sea level by
some 63m if it were to melt completely, they said.
According to researchers, the ice sheets are the largest potential
source of future sea level rise — and they also possess the largest
uncertainty over their future behaviour.
Satellites detect tiny variations in Earth’s gravity field resulting
from changes in mass distribution, including movement of ice into the
oceans. Using these changes in gravity, the state of the ice sheets can
be monitored at monthly intervals.
Beside anthropogenic warming, ice sheets are affected by many natural
processes, such as multi—year fluctuations in the atmosphere (for
example, shifting pressure systems in the North Atlantic, or El Nino and
La Nina events) and slow changes in ocean currents, researchers said.
“So, if observations span only a few years, such ‘ice sheet weather’ may
show up as an apparent speed—up of ice loss which would cancel out once
more observations become available,” Wouters said.
Researchers compared nine years of satellite data from the GRACE mission
with reconstructions of about 50 years of mass changes to the ice
sheets. They found that the ability to accurately detect an accelerating
trend in mass loss depends on the length of the record.
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